@molly0xfff There's an interesting article what likely drives the "Jesus prediction market" dynamics: https://ericneyman.wordpress.com/2025/03/24/will-jesus-christ-return-in-an-election-year/
tl;dr: No betters can earn a relatively safe ~3% interest off of the Yes betters. Yes betters are betting that No betters want to get their money out before the end of the year (possibly to bet on more lucrative bets) and are willing to pay a premium for it.