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@graydon @zeborah 😬😬😬

Aaagh! Who does that‽ No, don't answer that, I don't want to know.

@zeborah @graydon back when IBM was doing studies of this, it was really clear that some people were much much better than others. So there really are faster programmers. Technology has changed a lot so maybe this is less true than it once was.

@graydon back when they did serious management studies on computing (which was in my youth and I'm an old bird) coding was about 15% of the time on a project. Still, I don't rule out the possibility that this technology might eventually contribute. Even a 10% increase in productivity is impressive, just not the "best thing with sliced bread, going to eliminate programmers forever" which "AI" developers are claiming.

@graydon there's people as claim that "AI" (why is there no voice recognition software which works with sophisticated punctuation?) helps in the design phase, too, but I don't think it really does. I have a whole collection of articles discussing "AI" and productivity and it doesn't look like it makes a huge difference. They might get a 10 to 20% productivity increase from quick code generation, but I think that's about it.

https://shinycroak.blogspot.com/2025/09/ai-and-productivity.html