If there’s any company that should blow up in a bubble, it’s Tesla.
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If there’s any company that should blow up in a bubble, it’s Tesla.
All the fundamentals say overvalued:
- Revenue growth is slowing compared to the narrative.
- Autos are capital-intensive and low-margin.
- Repeated price cuts are crushing gross margin.
- Regulatory credits and incentives distort real profitability.
- FSD still isn’t Level 4 autonomy.
- Energy and robotics remain tiny next to market cap.
- Capex requirements stay high.
- Competition is fierce and closing the tech gap.
- Multiples remain far above peers while free cash flow stays volatile.
However, $TSLA survives because it’s both a cult and a narrative machine—robotaxis, AI, Dojo, Optimus, and “everything app” optionality keep the story alive. Heavy retail ownership, passive index flows, and options-driven squeezes provide constant fuel.
Cults endure beyond rational interrogation—often far longer than skeptics expect.
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