This is anecdotal, but every time I say I have a bad feeling about something
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I’m kinda just over people yelling at me. The more people get super angry about me saying something is fishy as hell, the more south it’s going.
@hacks4pancakes Why do we think "debate" is the right way to explore points of view?
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You’re mad because you’re so deeply invested and wired into something that me yelling that the emperor is naked makes you want to fight.
@hacks4pancakes Decades ago, this company was claiming to have invented the operating system that would work across all computer platforms, Micro, Mini, and Mainframe. They hyped it, and it was called OS-2 (of all things, unrelated to MS OS/2). A friend who was an investor asked me to look at it. I explained in detail why it was not a good investment, and he didn't invest $50K. I was laughed at and told I was wrong.
Where is OS-2? A money pit that vanished a year later.
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@hacks4pancakes Being right isn't as much fun as it should be I find.....
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@hacks4pancakes Decades ago, this company was claiming to have invented the operating system that would work across all computer platforms, Micro, Mini, and Mainframe. They hyped it, and it was called OS-2 (of all things, unrelated to MS OS/2). A friend who was an investor asked me to look at it. I explained in detail why it was not a good investment, and he didn't invest $50K. I was laughed at and told I was wrong.
Where is OS-2? A money pit that vanished a year later.
@RegGuy oh noooo
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@hacks4pancakes Decades ago, this company was claiming to have invented the operating system that would work across all computer platforms, Micro, Mini, and Mainframe. They hyped it, and it was called OS-2 (of all things, unrelated to MS OS/2). A friend who was an investor asked me to look at it. I explained in detail why it was not a good investment, and he didn't invest $50K. I was laughed at and told I was wrong.
Where is OS-2? A money pit that vanished a year later.
@RegGuy @hacks4pancakes Great idea, if you don't know enough to see the problems.
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Yes, even the collapse of American free speech and democratic government because deep American exceptionalism and trust in stability is 💯💯💯 lifelong brainwashing too.
@hacks4pancakes as a Brit who used to work in US tech and lived in Seattle years ago, I just assumed people got angry when I pointed this out because I was an outsider...
A bit like Baz Luhrmann's epic song, Sunscreen, every word of this thread rings true 💯
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@hacks4pancakes Decades ago, this company was claiming to have invented the operating system that would work across all computer platforms, Micro, Mini, and Mainframe. They hyped it, and it was called OS-2 (of all things, unrelated to MS OS/2). A friend who was an investor asked me to look at it. I explained in detail why it was not a good investment, and he didn't invest $50K. I was laughed at and told I was wrong.
Where is OS-2? A money pit that vanished a year later.
@RegGuy @hacks4pancakes now I want to hear more about this operating system. Do you remember the company name? The term os 2 isn't very easy to search.
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@RegGuy @hacks4pancakes now I want to hear more about this operating system. Do you remember the company name? The term os 2 isn't very easy to search.
@loke @hacks4pancakes They were a Princeton, New Jersey-based company. I have looked, and never found anything. It was so pre-Internet that I'm pretty sure it's lost in the folds of time and worn-out pages of the paper prospectus.
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@hacks4pancakes "alleged grassy knoll ear shots" -- what's that about?
@vegai Trump and his ear bullet
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@loke @hacks4pancakes They were a Princeton, New Jersey-based company. I have looked, and never found anything. It was so pre-Internet that I'm pretty sure it's lost in the folds of time and worn-out pages of the paper prospectus.
@loke @hacks4pancakes More info I just thought of, it predated OS/2, probably 1984 (also ironic).
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@hacks4pancakes Why do we think "debate" is the right way to explore points of view?
@cford I think it's mostly that many a) men, and b) people in tech do honestly believe that they have a more reasonable, more logical, more correct view of whatever is being discussed than the layman, and sometimes even than people with somehow less knowledge on the subject (or at least they think the other party has less knowledge, often without bothering to check). The urge to correct somebody may stem either from an honest desire to teach them, or from an egotistical desire to demonstrate one's own superiority. Combine the two, and men in tech are, in some ways, indeed the worst.
Please note that I am not excusing anybody's behavior; people MUST learn to question their own PoV, and people absolutely MUST learn to treat others as human beings.
And yes, I do say all of this with a full realization that I have behaved like the man in tech that I am many times, and sometimes do it still.
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@RegGuy sorry, looks like a dead end
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You’re mad because you’re so deeply invested and wired into something that me yelling that the emperor is naked makes you want to fight.
@hacks4pancakes so much this. It is like people are too weak to admit sunk cost fallacy outside of business contexts. I want to grab them by the shoulders DEAR DERP - IT IS IS YOU NOW
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@kauer But why do they attack the person that's telling the fear they have instead of addressing the fear itself? Why shoot the messenger? This will change nothing.
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You’re mad because you’re so deeply invested and wired into something that me yelling that the emperor is naked makes you want to fight.
The one I haven’t won out on because thankfully the other shoe hasn’t dropped is insecure child tracking apps but omg
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The one I haven’t won out on because thankfully the other shoe hasn’t dropped is insecure child tracking apps but omg
@hacks4pancakes Yeah. Somebody bad is gonna... yeah.
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@hacks4pancakes Yeah. Somebody bad is gonna... yeah.
@jmax hate this so much
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@hacks4pancakes Decades ago, this company was claiming to have invented the operating system that would work across all computer platforms, Micro, Mini, and Mainframe. They hyped it, and it was called OS-2 (of all things, unrelated to MS OS/2). A friend who was an investor asked me to look at it. I explained in detail why it was not a good investment, and he didn't invest $50K. I was laughed at and told I was wrong.
Where is OS-2? A money pit that vanished a year later.
@RegGuy @hacks4pancakes Last night, my uncle (investor/manager, zero computing background) called me saying he wants to install OpenClaw on his machine (and "to automate my company") with a lot of FOMO energy. He asked me because he didn't have the skill to figure out how to install that (and yet still thinks it is fine to let it "automate" his company, unmaintained?) I honestly don't know how to dissuade him.
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This is anecdotal, but every time I say I have a bad feeling about something
(See: Elon and companies, alleged grassy knoll ear shots, LLMs, cryptocurrency, Gamergate, project 2025)
And I get tech people yelling at me in the comments,
Within two years I’m proven extremely right.
@hacks4pancakes@infosec.exchange I really hope I'm wrong about the bad feelings I have right now but I have no reason to think we'd be that lucky
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I have a No Soliciting sign on my door, which salespeople often ignore, and I get grumpy about it. But, a Sonic fiber internet sales person just came to the door claiming it is now available here and gave me a card for two months free, so I'm slightly less mad about it. Though I suspect it's a lie. They've been sending me flyers for years and every time I check it is not available.
I'm gonna check again, anyway, as I hate the cable company and they're charging me twice as much for slow service.
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«Lo scontro sulla famiglia nel bosco? Rischia di distruggere il sistema di tutela dei minori» https://www.avvenire.it/attualita/lo-scontro-sulla-famiglia-nel-bosco-rischia-di-distruggere-il-sistema-di-tutela-dei-minori_105586
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Prepararsi al pi day 2026
Quest'anno mettere in piedi il Carnevale della Matematica del 14 marzo, che sarà peraltro la 195.ma edizione, non è stato per nulla semplice. Il motivo è che il giorno del pi day sarò sul treno per rientrare da Firenze, dove a partire dall'11 marzo sarà in svolgimento Didacta, fiera della didattica italiana. Ho, quindi, costretto gli altri matematti a inviarmi con congruo anticipo i loro contributi (e nel frattempo ho anche cercato di impostare delle bozze, non sia mai che riesca a raccontarvi qualcosa da Didacta a fine serata!), per cui non ho preparato nessun contenuto video da lanciare in contemporanea o in anteprima al Carnevale. E allora ecco l'idea di proporre in un post apposito un paio di news di MaddMaths! dedicate proprio al pi day e che sarebbero state decisamente vecchie uscendo all'interno del Carnevale:
Tutte le info per segnalare gli eventi dedicati alla Giornata intenazionale della matematica: per questa edizione il tema è Matematica e speranzaInoltre c'è anche una pagina con alcune attività da organizzare per il pi day. All'interno troverete alcune schede in italiano per attività a tema matematico (e pi greco!).Anche se mancano ancora pochi giorni al #piday, c'è comunque ancora un po' di tempo per segnalare eventi o lasciarsi ispirare dalle attività proposte!
https://dropseaofulaula.blogspot.com/2026/03/prepararsi-al-pi-day-2026.html
Grazie a @ulaulaman per la segnalazione https://mastodon.social/@ulaulaman/116205324715448343
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@oblomov @mcc @grumpygamer
After reading up on this a bit I can semi-confidently say that this branching process with d6s will continue infinitely. The highest chance of it terminating is of course in the first or second roll, but after that chances of terminating become infinitesimally small.
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@oblomov @mcc @grumpygamer hi! It seems like you've stumbled upon the lovely mathematical genre of problem called 'branching processes' and 'extinction probabilities'. I don't know how to calculate this, but I can show you where to look.
Tbis Reddit post had a similar idea to you: https://www.reddit.com/r/askscience/s/jH1LzTXROe
This is the wiki page on branching processes: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Branching_process?wprov=sfla1
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@stefano also, for convenience, the overview page:
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@mcc @grumpygamer that would be my intuition as well but I'm sure there's a mathematical way to prove it
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@mullvadnet Great writeup, raising awareness on this is very important. Mullvad reporting thoroughly on this topic, I appreciate it.
