Just read that Claude is subsidised something like 10-30x ...
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Just read that Claude is subsidised something like 10-30x ... That means that when they put the prices up ( not just to cover costs, but to profit ) it will become unaffordable for most non staff developers - it will also have a potentially interesting effect on offshoring, since developers in the developing world while still cheaper than those in the West, will be encumbered with massive model rental costs, reducing the savings ratio. ( Assuming those developers are using the AI tools )
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Just read that Claude is subsidised something like 10-30x ... That means that when they put the prices up ( not just to cover costs, but to profit ) it will become unaffordable for most non staff developers - it will also have a potentially interesting effect on offshoring, since developers in the developing world while still cheaper than those in the West, will be encumbered with massive model rental costs, reducing the savings ratio. ( Assuming those developers are using the AI tools )
It could still work out that PMs end up reduced to systems analysts spinning Claude, and you hire the offshore developers to fix everything though ... Ugh.
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Just read that Claude is subsidised something like 10-30x ... That means that when they put the prices up ( not just to cover costs, but to profit ) it will become unaffordable for most non staff developers - it will also have a potentially interesting effect on offshoring, since developers in the developing world while still cheaper than those in the West, will be encumbered with massive model rental costs, reducing the savings ratio. ( Assuming those developers are using the AI tools )
@toerror exactly. manual labor can compete here.
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Just read that Claude is subsidised something like 10-30x ... That means that when they put the prices up ( not just to cover costs, but to profit ) it will become unaffordable for most non staff developers - it will also have a potentially interesting effect on offshoring, since developers in the developing world while still cheaper than those in the West, will be encumbered with massive model rental costs, reducing the savings ratio. ( Assuming those developers are using the AI tools )
@toerror Yep. It’s the model every tech company has used for a decade or more: massively subsidise with VC money to make it so cheap it suckers in a big crowd and puts everyone else out of business, then jack up the costs to higher than what the predecessors were because now people can’t or won’t go back
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@toerror Yep. It’s the model every tech company has used for a decade or more: massively subsidise with VC money to make it so cheap it suckers in a big crowd and puts everyone else out of business, then jack up the costs to higher than what the predecessors were because now people can’t or won’t go back
@toerror in 10 years, if they get what they want, we’ll have far fewer competent coders and everyone will be paying through the nose to rent the ability to rapidly copy & remix what the competent coders of old used to make, but now don’t anymore because they’ve all retired in disgust
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@toerror in 10 years, if they get what they want, we’ll have far fewer competent coders and everyone will be paying through the nose to rent the ability to rapidly copy & remix what the competent coders of old used to make, but now don’t anymore because they’ve all retired in disgust
@sinbad The stagnation of the cannon is also concerning, and maybe an area that those of us who care for the craft may be able to win in - if all the generated systems look the same, fail to innovate, just recycle stuff off github and projects that developers have unwittingly fed into the machines, then it does potentially leave space for what I would regard as worthwhile development. Esp. if many deskill, or fail to enter the market.
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@sinbad The stagnation of the cannon is also concerning, and maybe an area that those of us who care for the craft may be able to win in - if all the generated systems look the same, fail to innovate, just recycle stuff off github and projects that developers have unwittingly fed into the machines, then it does potentially leave space for what I would regard as worthwhile development. Esp. if many deskill, or fail to enter the market.
@toerror I hope so, but I worry that a) in libs/frameworks there won’t be enough people who still appreciate good design because they’ve don’t look at it anymore and b) in end user applications people are so resigned to having garbage that goes wide and updates fast but is inefficient and poorly designed that maybe a well designed, more efficient, more carefully developed thing just doesn’t have a big enough audience
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@toerror I hope so, but I worry that a) in libs/frameworks there won’t be enough people who still appreciate good design because they’ve don’t look at it anymore and b) in end user applications people are so resigned to having garbage that goes wide and updates fast but is inefficient and poorly designed that maybe a well designed, more efficient, more carefully developed thing just doesn’t have a big enough audience
@toerror but maybe we simply aim to find fulfilment in being “boutique” in a sea of slop
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Just read that Claude is subsidised something like 10-30x ... That means that when they put the prices up ( not just to cover costs, but to profit ) it will become unaffordable for most non staff developers - it will also have a potentially interesting effect on offshoring, since developers in the developing world while still cheaper than those in the West, will be encumbered with massive model rental costs, reducing the savings ratio. ( Assuming those developers are using the AI tools )
@toerror seems like it would be just cheaper to ignore ai, keep your tools sharp, and leave all the losers who fell for it behind in the dust