#Physics is such an old field it's a real bitch.'n1.
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#Physics is such an old field it's a real bitch.
1. Have a nice promising idea all by yourself
2. Find out a well-known guy had it 30 years ago
3. Refine the question so as to go further than the 1st dude.
4. Find out another even better-known guy who looked at this particular question 50 years ago.
5. Look at references in the paper.
6. Find out that Eddington first had a look at this in the early 1930s.
7. Give up and go back to your usual infinitesimally incremental shit or persevere by reading the 200 papers that you discovered along the trail of references, at the risk of facing an even more depressing surprise.So, after thinking I had an original thought on Monday, here's me studying papers from a century ago to figure out if idea can be salvaged somehow.
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#Physics is such an old field it's a real bitch.
1. Have a nice promising idea all by yourself
2. Find out a well-known guy had it 30 years ago
3. Refine the question so as to go further than the 1st dude.
4. Find out another even better-known guy who looked at this particular question 50 years ago.
5. Look at references in the paper.
6. Find out that Eddington first had a look at this in the early 1930s.
7. Give up and go back to your usual infinitesimally incremental shit or persevere by reading the 200 papers that you discovered along the trail of references, at the risk of facing an even more depressing surprise.So, after thinking I had an original thought on Monday, here's me studying papers from a century ago to figure out if idea can be salvaged somehow.
This is why physicists and many academics more broadly have no tolerance for crackpots, people "who did their own research", and people who are quick to claim some big problems have easy fixes. There's no short-circuit. You need to learn your shit and academic research field the deep, hard way before making any bold claim or even suggestion.
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undefined Oblomov shared this topic on
Gli ultimi otto messaggi ricevuti dalla Federazione
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Stiamo migrando da snowfan.masto.host a snowfan.it🙏
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@Otttoz il presidente che litiga con ex assessore agricoltura?
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@lorenzo non conosco il genere.
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I mean, look at this shit. I wouldn't buy any of these companies right now, though I think Apple, Microsoft, Broadcom, Google, and Netflix, will be OK even when AI crashes. They have real businesses that make money, AI is just a side quest for them. They'll fall, but not crash.
But, Nvidia? Tesla? Huge exposure to AI and no way to justify their valuations if absolutely absurd SciFi things don't come to pass.
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Getting all the shares available under this package over the next 10 years would be the equivalent of earning US$275m a day.
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@az I mean, that's kind of why I buy index funds and forget about it. Over a long enough period the stock market as a whole has always returned better than you'd get from an interest-bearing savings account, CD, or savings bond. So, indexes are, given a large enough window of time, always the smart and safe investment.
But, sometimes, the market goes fucking insane. It did it in 2008. And, I'm pretty confident it's doing it again now, and I think the end is nigh.
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Another "too early" one, recently: I sold ARM at $133. I made a good profit, but too soon, I could have made more. But, I didn't believe in the AI story, and still don't, so I sold in February of 2024, just a few months after I bought it (and paid for short-term gains on my taxes!).
I almost sold everything tech back then because of lack of faith in the fairy story investors and tech leaders are telling themselves and the public to keep the money machine printing. But, I told myself: Too soon.
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I am mostly a "buy index funds and forget about it forever" investor. I'm good at picking stocks, at least within my areas of expertise, and I'm OK at knowing when to sell (again, often too early). But, I don't find joy in it, so I don't want to think about investment all the time. So, indexes it is. This has done OK for me. I've made decent money on my retirement account over the handful of years I've had enough money to spare to invest in a retirement account.
But, my gut is yelling "crash".
