Betting on prompt engineering seems like betting on hybrids.
Uncategorized
5
Posts
2
Posters
1
Views
-
Betting on prompt engineering seems like betting on hybrids. Which are selling very well right now. But if you think you have a decade of career left, ask yourself this question:
What is the value of “prompt engineering,” when we get to the following inflection point:
“Siri, make me a copy of Salesforce for my business, and after consulting legal precedent, make the most minimally invasive changes to insulate me from accusations of theft.”
Actually, that’s just the warm-up:
1/2
-
Betting on prompt engineering seems like betting on hybrids. Which are selling very well right now. But if you think you have a decade of career left, ask yourself this question:
What is the value of “prompt engineering,” when we get to the following inflection point:
“Siri, make me a copy of Salesforce for my business, and after consulting legal precedent, make the most minimally invasive changes to insulate me from accusations of theft.”
Actually, that’s just the warm-up:
1/2
What is the value of software companies when we reach that point?
Sure, anyone will be able to prompt planet-scale SaaS into existence. Open AI, Google, and especially MSFT will see to that, while xAI is cornering the market on digital mail-order brides.
But anyone includes customers, no? If the arc of LLMs bends towards being reliable enough to prompt production SaaS into existence, there is a business model problem to solve as well as a whither-labour problem to solve.
2/2
-
What is the value of software companies when we reach that point?
Sure, anyone will be able to prompt planet-scale SaaS into existence. Open AI, Google, and especially MSFT will see to that, while xAI is cornering the market on digital mail-order brides.
But anyone includes customers, no? If the arc of LLMs bends towards being reliable enough to prompt production SaaS into existence, there is a business model problem to solve as well as a whither-labour problem to solve.
2/2
@raganwald I would have been extremely skeptical about LLMs being able to be cajoled into making software at scale a year ago, but I am pretty astounded by how good the best agentic AIs have gotten and how much they can do on their own...they look stupid while iterating and making tons of mistakes, but I also look stupid when I'm iterating and making tons of mistakes. Closing the loop and allowing them to read the errors, search, and try again really does unleash something impressive.
-
@raganwald I would have been extremely skeptical about LLMs being able to be cajoled into making software at scale a year ago, but I am pretty astounded by how good the best agentic AIs have gotten and how much they can do on their own...they look stupid while iterating and making tons of mistakes, but I also look stupid when I'm iterating and making tons of mistakes. Closing the loop and allowing them to read the errors, search, and try again really does unleash something impressive.
@swelljoe And even if they weren’t that impressive, this use case is remarkably compelling:
What if the AI companies become the only software companies? Think of their ability to rent-seek when all automation runs through them!
It’s worth juggling and tuning and adjusting heuristics and hiring tens of thousands of humans to help fine-tune the results.
-
@swelljoe And even if they weren’t that impressive, this use case is remarkably compelling:
What if the AI companies become the only software companies? Think of their ability to rent-seek when all automation runs through them!
It’s worth juggling and tuning and adjusting heuristics and hiring tens of thousands of humans to help fine-tune the results.
@raganwald the AI arms race starts to make sense. Why wouldn't you spend a trillion dollars if you can replace every software company forever?
Gli ultimi otto messaggi ricevuti dalla Federazione
-
Quizzino della domenica: Equazione cubica
@matematica - Riuscite a dimostrare che questa equazione non ha soluzioni intere?
-
🤪 accurate
-
“brescia schifa i fascisti”. sabato 13 in piazza contro la calata razzista
@anarchia
Sabato 13 dicembre la manifestazione antifascista e antirazzista a Brescia “per la remigrazione dei fascisti nelle fogne della storia, contro razzismo, riarmo, economia di guerra, precarietà e genocidio”. Così l’appello di Mag 47, Diritti per Tutti, Collettivo Onda Studentesca e
-
Watch a Recording Lathe From 1958 Cut a Lacquer Master Record
Most of us are familiar with vinyl LPs, and even with the way in which they are made by stamping a hot puck of polyvinyl chloride (PVC) into a record. But [Technostalgism] takes us all the way back to the beginning, giving us a first-hand look at how a lacquer master is cut by a specialized recording lathe.
An uncut lacquer master is an aluminum base coated with a flawless layer of lacquer. It smells like fresh, drying paint.
Cutting a lacquer master is the intricate process by which lacquer disks, used as the masters for vinyl records, are created. These glossy black masters — still made by a company in Japan — are precision aluminum discs coated with a special lacquer to create a surface that resembles not-quite-cured nail polish and, reportedly, smells like fresh paint.The cutting process itself remains largely unchanged over the decades, although the whole supporting setup is a bit more modernized than it would have been some seventy years ago. In the video (embedded below), we get a whole tour of the setup and watch a Neumann AM32B Master Stereo Disk Recording Lathe from 1958 cut the single unbroken groove that makes up the side of a record.
The actual cutting tool is a stylus whose movement combines the left and right channels and is heated to achieve the smoothest cuts possible. The result is something that impresses the heck out of [Technostalgism] with its cleanliness, clarity, and quality. Less obvious is the work that goes into arranging the whole thing. Every detail, every band between tracks, is the result of careful planning.
It’s very clear that not only is special equipment needed to cut a disk, but doing so effectively is a display of serious craftsmanship, experience, and skill. If you’re inclined to agree and are hungry for more details, then be sure to check out this DIY record-cutting lathe.
-
@mayintoronto good question!
-
Also worth noting is that the poll was not about this particular wallpaper. I mean, that'd be a really messed up poll. "Is the wallpaper I saw in a men's bathroom and that almost no other human beings have ever seen sexy? No, I won't post a photo until after the poll is closed."
-
@evan What makes a mermaid butt sexy though?
-
@tvaughan she's not actually a mermaid, though. She's a human actress who played a mermaid in a movie.
