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If there’s any company that should blow up in a bubble, it’s Tesla.

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  • If there’s any company that should blow up in a bubble, it’s Tesla.

    All the fundamentals say overvalued:

    • Revenue growth is slowing compared to the narrative.
    • Autos are capital-intensive and low-margin.
    • Repeated price cuts are crushing gross margin.
    • Regulatory credits and incentives distort real profitability.
    • FSD still isn’t Level 4 autonomy.
    • Energy and robotics remain tiny next to market cap.
    • Capex requirements stay high.
    • Competition is fierce and closing the tech gap.
    • Multiples remain far above peers while free cash flow stays volatile.

    However, $TSLA survives because it’s both a cult and a narrative machine—robotaxis, AI, Dojo, Optimus, and “everything app” optionality keep the story alive. Heavy retail ownership, passive index flows, and options-driven squeezes provide constant fuel.

    Cults endure beyond rational interrogation—often far longer than skeptics expect.

  • oblomov@sociale.networkundefined oblomov@sociale.network shared this topic on

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